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Abstract The TRAPPIST-1 system has been extensively observed with JWST in the near-infrared with the goal of detecting atmospheric transit transmission spectra of these temperate, Earth-sized exoplanets. A byproduct has been much more precise times of transit compared with prior available data from Spitzer, Hubble Space Telescope, or ground-based telescopes. In this note we use 23 new timing measurements of all seven planets in the near-infrared from five JWST observing programs to better forecast and constrain the future times of transit in this system. In particular, we note that the transit times of TRAPPIST-1h have drifted significantly from a prior published analysis by up to tens of minutes. Our newer forecast has a higher precision, with uncertainties ranging from 7 to 105 s during JWST Cycles 4 and 5. This forecast will help to improve planning of future observations of the TRAPPIST-1 planets, while we postpone a full dynamical analysis to future work.more » « less
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Allen, Natalie_H; Nakajima, Miki; Wünnemann, Kai; Helhoski, Søren; Trail, Dustin (, Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets)Abstract The Vredefort impact structure, located in South Africa and formed 2.02 Ga, is the largest confirmed remnant impact crater on Earth. The widely accepted impactor diameter and velocity to form this crater are 15 km and 15 km/s, respectively, which produce a crater diameter of 172 km. This is much smaller than the most commonly cited estimates (250–280 km), and while previous results were able to match the geologic evidence known at that time, these impact parameters are not consistent with more recent geological constraints. Here, we conduct impact simulations to model the Vredefort crater formation with the shock physics code impact Simplified Arbitrary Lagrangian Eulerian (iSALE). Our numerical simulations show that combinations of the impactor diameter and impact velocity of 25 km and 15 km/s or 20 km and 25 km/s are able to recreate the larger crater size of ∼250 km. Moreover, these configurations can reproduce shock‐metamorphic features present in the impact structure today, including the distributions of breccia, shatter cones, planar deformation features in quartz and zircon, and melt. Our model also predicts that Vredefort and Karelia, Russia, where an ejecta layer from the impact was found, were approximately 2,000–2,500 km apart based on the layer thickness. Additionally, we use this model to predict the potential global effects of such a large impact by estimating the amount of climatically important gases released to the atmosphere at the time. Our work demonstrates the need to revisit previously estimated impactor parameters for large terrestrial craters in order to better characterize impact events on Earth and elsewhere.more » « less
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